MobileBizBuzz

May 19, 2010

Global Handset Sales Above Forecast – Apps?

Filed under: Mobile Devices — Tags: , , Clint @ 8:05 am

Today’s Wall Street Journal article  reports on the rapid growth in the 1Q2010 mobile handset market, throttled by an increase of 49% in smartphone unit sales, totalling 54.3M devices.  RIM and Apple have now vaulted to the  #5 and #7 global handset volume list, where they continue to nibble away at Nokia’s massive market share.

Are apps driving the demand for these devices or are they more affordable or both?  Apple is setting the pace with approximately 200,000 apps available.  Meanwhile, RIM is lagging in this category with only 6,000 apps, but has the best mobile email in the industry.

RIM is up 1% while Apple is slightly down in their respective exchanges this morning.

May 12, 2010

Something Sneaky This Way Comes

Release the Kraken! Scratch that. Just a minute here…um, uh…OK, let’s try this again. Look out for Android! I know, I know…that’s not nearly as dramatic as commanding the release of the mythical Kraken, but it’s certainly something those of us in the industry should heed.

If I were to ask almost anybody on the street what the most popular smartphone is today, I bet that 9 out of 10 people would say the iPhone. And why not? There are several reasons to think that:

  1. Apple has smartphone market share that is second only to RIM (BlackBerry).
  2. Apple invented the whole App Store concept as we all now know it, and it boasts over 200,000 applications.
  3. Apple ships a lot of phones. According to  Canalys, over 25 million iPhones were shipped in 2009 alone.

Now let’s change the question a bit. What if I were to ask what the most popular operating system is for a smartphone? Admittedly, the average person does not think about smartphones in this way, but the average application developer does. The answer to this question would not be too surprising for the most part. According to data just released by NPD Group, RIM still leads in this game with 36% of all smartphones sold in the US in the first quarter of 2010 running the BlackBerry OS. It probably also wouldn’t surprise anybody to know that Apple came in at 21% in the same study. Very impressive for a company that has essentially a couple of different flavors of the same smartphone. And remember, in the US Apple only runs on one carrier…AT&T.

There was a bit of a surprise in this most recent data though, and that was Android. Android is the open OS backed by Google. Like BlackBerrys, Android devices run on all the carriers and come in a variety of shapes and sizes. Unlike BlackBerrys, Android devices are made by several manufacturers including the likes of Motorola and HTC. Here’s the surprising part…in the first quarter of 2010, 28% of all smartphones sold in the US were Android devices.  That’s right, there are now more Android devices being sold in the US than there are iPhones being sold in the US.  And guess what else. Android Marketplace (the Android App Store), now has over 50,000 applications listed on it.

Not only does Android have this type of momentum, but it has other things going for it:

  1. Many of the newest and slickest devices are Android devices. For instance, this summer Sprint and HTC will introduce the first WiMAX phone and it will be an Android device.
  2. AT&T just started offering Android devices in the last month or so. That means Android devices have lots of room to grow with AT&T subscribers.
  3. With Android 2.1, Android devices are starting to surpass some of the capabilities of the iPhone.

This doesn’t mean we should all sell our Apple stock. Far from it. So far Apple continues to innovate and make some interesting decisions in the market. Couple that with well designed devices, and a powerful brand, and Apple will continue to be a leader in the smartphone market. At least for the time being. But don’t count out Android. Android isn’t making as much noise as Apple, but they are quietly making their presence know in a big way in the market.

May 4, 2010

The End of an Era

Filed under: Mobile Apps — Tags: , , , Mike @ 9:15 am

Last week witnessed the end of an era as Hewlett Packard announced its intent to purchase the beleaguered Palm. Engadget did a story with their take on the new Palm logo (seen at the right). I think there are three primary lessons the industry can learn from the demise of Palm.

The first lesson is nobody is big enough to not fail. Unlike in the financial sector, in the mobile handset environment no company, no matter what success they have had in the past is safe. It’s hard to realize at this point in time that Palm essentially invented what we all know as the smartphone today. Few in the industry would argue that point, but here we are 5-6 years later and Palm has been experiencing a descent into the depths for the past 3 years.  In 2004 it would have been as unimaginable to think Palm would fail, as it would be to think Apple would fail today, and yet here we are. Nobody is safe in this world.

The second lesson is to innovate or die. Palm, was once on the top of the heap with the most sophisticated, and yet easy to use, handsets on the market. They had a smaller, but no less enthusiastic following than Apple has today. I’m not sure why it happened, but somewhere around 2007 Palm quit innovating. Oh, I imagine in the labs they were working on new ideas, but they weren’t seeing the light of day. From the time they came out with the Treo 600, clear up through the Centro, there was nothing really new with the Palm handsets…a little more memory here, a smaller form factor there, and a few bells and whistles, but nothing significant to speak of. Unlike Palm, Apple just recently announced a completely new mobile device with the iPad. On the surface it might seem like a giant iPhone, but in fact at MacroSolve are already starting to develop entirely new business applications for the iPad. There’s no rest for the weary in the mobile handset market.

The final lesson is that applications are key to success. While Apple may have introduced the App Store concept, it is no longer unique to Apple.  Android already has over 30,000 applications on Android Market, and it’s market share is rapidly climbing. BlackBerry is struggling to get much traction with applications. Last I saw there were under 5000 apps in BlackBerry App World. That’s not much for an app store that has been in existence for just over a year. Interestingly, while BlackBerry is the clear leader in smartphone market share, their market share has been slipping over the last several months. While there are many variables that play into  market share in this market, I’d suggest the number and quality of applications available is one key variable.

So, if you’re a smartphone maker three things are worth focusing on:

  1. Don’t grow complacent no matter how great the accolades,
  2. Continue to innovate on new device ideas and capabilities, and
  3. Whatever you do, make sure you have a healthy, happy, and growing  developer community.

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