MobileBizBuzz

June 30, 2010

To Develop, Or Not Too Develop…That Is The Question

Filed under: Mobile App Dev,Mobile Apps — Tags: , , , Mike @ 8:53 am

It’s generally recognized that part of Apple’s success with the iPhone is due to their focus on applications. The App Store was the first of a kind, and is still a leader in mobile phone applications with over 225,000 apps available.  Android has been coming on strong, but is still a distant second place with over 50,000 apps. No other smartphone platform even comes close to this type of application availability, including Microsoft and BlackBerry.

I’m sure most of the people who read this blog are not developers…that’s not our intended audience. But I think it’s instructive to understand what developers are thinking.  Recently a company called Appcelerator published a survey of developers and their view of the various platforms.  I’d recommend you at least read the overview.  They also have a pdf to download if you want more detail. As you read it, just remember that Appcelerator makes a cross platform development tool called Titanium. So they have a specific point of view that influences the questions they ask. They also have a specific type of developer that uses their tool. Regardless, the information is interesting.

The chart to the left is one of the most interesting segments of the survey. What it shows is a very focused interest in Apple and Android. Everything else is waning.  Pretty interesting stuff given BlackBerry is still the leading smartphone seller by far. However, they have lagged and continue to lag in the application development game. They also have not done much with novel handset delivery.

For those in the industry, we should pay attention to what the huge development community is doing. While developer acceptance has helped to boost Apple, lack of developer acceptance played at least some role in the demise of Palm.  Developers are not the only barometer of trends in the mobile industry, but they are one of the key metrics we should all be paying attention to.

June 11, 2010

The Times They Are a-Changin’

Filed under: Mobile Apps,Mobile Devices,Mobile in SMB — Tags: , , , , , , Mike @ 10:12 am

Roughly two months after the launch of the first iPad, we now know that Apple has sold about 2 million of the devices.  That in and of itself is something noteworthy in the mobile industry, but this morning I’d like to dig a little deeper. My premise for this post is that tablets in general are going to experience rapid growth as a tool for businesses.

Turn the clock back to April 9th, and you’ll find that I made my first post about the Apple iPad and it’s potential usefulness for business. At that point in time the iPad was really the first of a kind device. So what’s happened since then that bears revisiting the topic only two months later? Well, since you asked:

  • As a company we have since completed and delivered our first business app for the iPad.
  • The App Store now boasts thousands of apps designed specifically for the iPad.
  • HP has purchased Palm, and stated they will deliver a WebOS based tablet by October.
  • Dell announced the Streak; a new Android based tablet shipping in the UK in June, and in the US later this summer.

All of these things point to the fact that tablets in general, and the iPad specifically, are gaining rapid traction in the market. But I saw another interesting statistic recently that shows the iPad, and I think other tablets, are going to catch fire in the business environment. Citrix recently conducted a survey that showed 84% of companies surveyed intend to support personal iPads purchased and used for work purposes by employees. The survey also said that 50% of businesses surveyed plan to purchase iPads for their employees. One caveat on this is the survey itself is not scientific, so it does need to be taken with a grain of salt.

If the only data I saw was this survey, I would not give it a lot of attention. However, what we are seeing in the market is backing this up. As I said, we just completed our first iPad app, which is for business use. I know a few other companies in the industry who are developing business apps for the platform as well. I also know several companies in a variety of businesses who are using them as sales and marketing tools already. Add to that the attention tablets are getting from HP, Dell, and others who have traditionally focused on the business market, and I can definitely see a rapidly growing movement toward the use of tablets for business apps.

Tablets aren’t new, so what’s fueling this. I for one think it has a lot to do with the form factor being married with a new user interface approach and new operating systems. These new tablets don’t run Windows. They run gesture based smartphone operating systems. The new hardware, combined with the new user interface and creative applications are going to make all the difference in the world to how rapidly this platform is expanded into the business market.

We are seeing real value in using these new tablets in the business world, and I’m betting you will begin seeing and experiencing it yourself over the next year to eighteen months.

May 12, 2010

Something Sneaky This Way Comes

Release the Kraken! Scratch that. Just a minute here…um, uh…OK, let’s try this again. Look out for Android! I know, I know…that’s not nearly as dramatic as commanding the release of the mythical Kraken, but it’s certainly something those of us in the industry should heed.

If I were to ask almost anybody on the street what the most popular smartphone is today, I bet that 9 out of 10 people would say the iPhone. And why not? There are several reasons to think that:

  1. Apple has smartphone market share that is second only to RIM (BlackBerry).
  2. Apple invented the whole App Store concept as we all now know it, and it boasts over 200,000 applications.
  3. Apple ships a lot of phones. According to  Canalys, over 25 million iPhones were shipped in 2009 alone.

Now let’s change the question a bit. What if I were to ask what the most popular operating system is for a smartphone? Admittedly, the average person does not think about smartphones in this way, but the average application developer does. The answer to this question would not be too surprising for the most part. According to data just released by NPD Group, RIM still leads in this game with 36% of all smartphones sold in the US in the first quarter of 2010 running the BlackBerry OS. It probably also wouldn’t surprise anybody to know that Apple came in at 21% in the same study. Very impressive for a company that has essentially a couple of different flavors of the same smartphone. And remember, in the US Apple only runs on one carrier…AT&T.

There was a bit of a surprise in this most recent data though, and that was Android. Android is the open OS backed by Google. Like BlackBerrys, Android devices run on all the carriers and come in a variety of shapes and sizes. Unlike BlackBerrys, Android devices are made by several manufacturers including the likes of Motorola and HTC. Here’s the surprising part…in the first quarter of 2010, 28% of all smartphones sold in the US were Android devices.  That’s right, there are now more Android devices being sold in the US than there are iPhones being sold in the US.  And guess what else. Android Marketplace (the Android App Store), now has over 50,000 applications listed on it.

Not only does Android have this type of momentum, but it has other things going for it:

  1. Many of the newest and slickest devices are Android devices. For instance, this summer Sprint and HTC will introduce the first WiMAX phone and it will be an Android device.
  2. AT&T just started offering Android devices in the last month or so. That means Android devices have lots of room to grow with AT&T subscribers.
  3. With Android 2.1, Android devices are starting to surpass some of the capabilities of the iPhone.

This doesn’t mean we should all sell our Apple stock. Far from it. So far Apple continues to innovate and make some interesting decisions in the market. Couple that with well designed devices, and a powerful brand, and Apple will continue to be a leader in the smartphone market. At least for the time being. But don’t count out Android. Android isn’t making as much noise as Apple, but they are quietly making their presence know in a big way in the market.

May 4, 2010

The End of an Era

Filed under: Mobile Apps — Tags: , , , Mike @ 9:15 am

Last week witnessed the end of an era as Hewlett Packard announced its intent to purchase the beleaguered Palm. Engadget did a story with their take on the new Palm logo (seen at the right). I think there are three primary lessons the industry can learn from the demise of Palm.

The first lesson is nobody is big enough to not fail. Unlike in the financial sector, in the mobile handset environment no company, no matter what success they have had in the past is safe. It’s hard to realize at this point in time that Palm essentially invented what we all know as the smartphone today. Few in the industry would argue that point, but here we are 5-6 years later and Palm has been experiencing a descent into the depths for the past 3 years.  In 2004 it would have been as unimaginable to think Palm would fail, as it would be to think Apple would fail today, and yet here we are. Nobody is safe in this world.

The second lesson is to innovate or die. Palm, was once on the top of the heap with the most sophisticated, and yet easy to use, handsets on the market. They had a smaller, but no less enthusiastic following than Apple has today. I’m not sure why it happened, but somewhere around 2007 Palm quit innovating. Oh, I imagine in the labs they were working on new ideas, but they weren’t seeing the light of day. From the time they came out with the Treo 600, clear up through the Centro, there was nothing really new with the Palm handsets…a little more memory here, a smaller form factor there, and a few bells and whistles, but nothing significant to speak of. Unlike Palm, Apple just recently announced a completely new mobile device with the iPad. On the surface it might seem like a giant iPhone, but in fact at MacroSolve are already starting to develop entirely new business applications for the iPad. There’s no rest for the weary in the mobile handset market.

The final lesson is that applications are key to success. While Apple may have introduced the App Store concept, it is no longer unique to Apple.  Android already has over 30,000 applications on Android Market, and it’s market share is rapidly climbing. BlackBerry is struggling to get much traction with applications. Last I saw there were under 5000 apps in BlackBerry App World. That’s not much for an app store that has been in existence for just over a year. Interestingly, while BlackBerry is the clear leader in smartphone market share, their market share has been slipping over the last several months. While there are many variables that play into  market share in this market, I’d suggest the number and quality of applications available is one key variable.

So, if you’re a smartphone maker three things are worth focusing on:

  1. Don’t grow complacent no matter how great the accolades,
  2. Continue to innovate on new device ideas and capabilities, and
  3. Whatever you do, make sure you have a healthy, happy, and growing  developer community.

April 21, 2010

CTIA Rebrands Show

Filed under: Industry News,Mobile Apps,Mobile in SMB — Tags: Mike @ 2:52 pm

I saw an article today in Wireless Week that CTIA will be rebranding its fall show. Those of you who frequent MobileBizBuzz will know that I normally attend the CTIA shows and do a few posts afterwards about the trends I saw while there. CTIA actually has both a spring and a fall show each year, each having a different focus. Both are well attended, with the fall show being the smaller of the two still drawing 15,000+ attendees. In my opinion, these shows represent the best places to go to understand where the wireless industry is going overall, as well as what major trends currently have the industry’s attention.

It’s not groundbreaking news that the fall show has been rebranded. This has happened a couple of times before in its 15 year history. What is groundbreaking is the fact it is being rebranded as CTIA Enterprise and Applications. In their press release, CTIA said they were making this change to reflect “the growing use of mobile technology in business and new opportunities for developers”. While many of us in the industry have been touting mobile business applications for quite some time, it is important to the mobile industry that CTIA is making this shift.

“Why is it so important?” you ask. The fundamental reason is that CTIA is a reflection of its member companies. Wireless carriers large and small, device makers, network technology providers, application developers, industry consultants, and others make up their impressive membership list. What this means is the industry as a whole is starting to understand the relevance of developing applications for the business market.  That bodes well for all of us in the business of delivering mobile applications for business, but it also bodes well for businesses who leverage mobile technology.

April 9, 2010

Apple’s iPad for Businesses?

Filed under: Industry News,Mobile App Dev,Mobile Apps,Mobile Devices — Tags: Mike @ 1:21 pm

There has certainly been a lot of hoopla over Apple’s launch of the iPad.  Reports are they sold 300,000 of them in the first day, including those that were pre-ordered, bought in Apple stores, or sold to retailers such as Best Buy.  At a local Apple event yesterday, Apple personnel said that number had now climbed to 450,000.  Pretty impressive for a device that starts at $499 for the entry model.

I teased a couple of my friends who are huge Apple fans that it was a giant iPhone.  In fact, one of the folks I work with said when he arrived at home last night with a new iPad, his young son jumped up and down and said “It’s a giant iPhone, yay!”  But all kidding aside, I was really interested in what new niche this product might carve for itself. After all, it is an Apple product, and they have an almost fanatical following. And let’s not forget, they didn’t get that following by accident. They typically produce good products, and they do a great job marketing them.

As a few of us were playing with the new device (I could use a more sophisticated term such as “experimenting”, but let’s face it, we were “playing”), a friend of mine dropped by.  He has been developing business applications for the iPhone for some time now, and has had some success with those.  Since the announcement of the iPad, he has been working on an idea to build a more sophisticated business application for the iPad.   He dropped in to show me what he already had working.

What he showed me was really impressive. Part of that is because he’s a pretty talented guy. His iPhone apps are pretty slick as well.  But a big part of what caught my attention was what types of applications were now possible with a mobile device.  I had one of those “Aha” moments. I realized just how much of a groundbreaking platform the iPad could be serving as a platform for select business applications. It won’t be easy getting there though.

Here’s the deal. The iPad has a much larger screen than a smartphone, while still being very portable. You don’t have to wag anything along with it for it to be useful. And, you have network access. Yes I know about the WiFi problems, but Apple will fix that. The larger form factor makes it possible to put much more information on the screen at a given time, so the applications can tend to be much more sophisticated. Cool, right? Yep.

It doesn’t come without issues though. The onscreen keyboard is not something anybody will want to do much typing on. Fine, that’s a user interface design issue, right?  Right. Mobile developers tackle those issues every day.  Here’s another one for you though. Once the developer begins to put more information on the screen, the application itself tends to get more capable. It grows in scope…so much so, that it approaches the scope of more traditional business apps. I believe this means many iPad business applications will not be residing completely on the iPad itself. They will demand a server component, and likely even a component that will be accessed by more traditional computers with physical keyboards and mice.

So what does all this mean? I believe it means that traditional application developers will begin to migrate into the mobile market more quickly, at least for this form factor. That means they will need to learn all those user interface, and communication rules that mobile developers already know. It also means that strictly mobile developers will have to enlarge their thinking to incorporate non-mobile aspects of these more sophisticated applications.

Smartphones and applications on them aren’t going away. In fact, comScore predicts there will be about 65 million smartphones shipped in 2010 for North America alone. Laptops and desktop computers aren’t going away either.  What most “experts” expect to happen is that the iPad will create a new market segment. We all know that Apple is fully expecting that. No surprises on any of those points. What did surprise me, however, is I caught a glimpse of how powerful this new form factor could be for the business environment right now.

March 18, 2010

Mobility Important to SMBs

Filed under: McGuire's Law,Mobile Apps,Mobile in SMBMike @ 8:24 am

Russ McGuire tagged an interesting article in his blog yesterday.  It’s a story referencing a survey AT&T conducted to understand the importance of mobility to small and medium sized businesses. Check it out. It’s worth the read.

March 17, 2010

If You Like Speed…Get Ready

Filed under: Mobile Devices — Tags: , , , , , Mike @ 9:36 am

htcsupersonica9292image1-thumbThe Wall Street Journal has an article today discussing an anticipated announcement by Sprint at CTIA next week. CTIA is the primary association for all things wireless.  According to WSJ, Sprint will be announcing a new WiMax smartphone.  The article is worth a quick read. With a little searching on the Web, you can even find some images of the device. There are two interesting things about this upcoming announcement.

The first is, if you have never experienced WiMax, you are not going to believe what you are in for. I got to see it in action as CTIA last Spring and was blown away by the speed.  It has the potential to do for mobile devices what DSL and Cable Modems did for the home when we moved from dial-up.

Second, I think it is very interesting to note that they first phone that will be WiMax capable in the US will be and Android phone. I’m sure part of that is because HTC is the company who will build it, and they provide a lot of devices for cobranding in the wireless world.  But just a couple of years ago HTC was churning out Windows Mobile Devices, and now they have a huge focus on Android as does much of the wireless market.

Regardless, we are all in for a game changer when WiMax and other 4G technologies arrive.

March 10, 2010

Verizon to Exploit iPad as Well – FierceWireless Rumor Mill

Filed under: Mobile Devices,Wireless Providers — Tags: , Mike @ 12:23 pm

Apple’s new iPad will be launching early next month. It will be coming out in two basic forms: a cellular version and a WiFi version. The cellular version will launch with AT&T support, but that doesn’t preclude other carriers from pushing the iPad.  All major carriers support WiFi hotspots in addition to their cellular data networks. FierceWireless just published a very insightful article about how Verizon may try to exploit the WiFi capabilities of the iPad to gain new customers. It’s worth the read.

Rumor Mill: Verizon seizing on iPad launch as an opportunity

March 9, 2010

A Brief History of Smartphones

Filed under: Mobile Apps,Mobile Devices — Tags: Mike @ 10:30 am

The last few years in the smartphone business has been a remarkable time, with some huge shifts in the market.  Think back to 2003, an eternity in the mobile market, and realize that the whole concept of a smartphone did not exist.  There simply wasn’t such a thing.  In fact, what is even more remarkable to me is that the company who launched the whole market segment we now know as smartphones was Palm.  That’s right. Believe it or not, Palm (and Handspring) invented what we all know as smartphones today, at least in a commercial sense.  Prior to the launch of the line of Treo products, there was nothing out there that resembled what we now know as a smartphone.

Fast forward a little to 2007.  At the end of June 2007, the smartphone market was rocked again with the introduction of the Apple iPhone. Apple, who had not previously been in the phone market, came out with a groundbreaking product. Sure, it was a smartphone, but it was one unlike anything the market had seen before. No keyboard, an amazing user interface, iTunes right on your phone, etc.  And just a year later in the summer of 2008 came the App Store. Both the device and the concept of the App Store were game changers in the market.

treo-600Now jump forward to the end of 2008, and we have the introduction of the first Android phone, built by HTC for T-Mobile, and running Google’s open source operating system, Android.  Uptake was slow, but by the Fall of 2009 several more Android phones hit the market, and the Android Marketplace rapidly grew to 20,000 titles.  As of last week all the major wireless carriers in the US have an Android offering. In fact, with the exception of AT&T, they all have multiple Android phones.  And if you haven’t used one of these devices, I can tell you that they are pretty slick.  The interface is on par with what you get from Apple. I am carrying one right now. It’s the HTC Hero from Sprint, and it’s a nice device.

So what’s the point of this little history lesson?  Well, I actually have several lessons, but let’s stick to 3 or 4 in no particular order:

  1. This market moves very quickly. For those of you who lived through the introduction of the Personal Computer in the early 80′s, you can probably still remember how quickly new products were introduced. About every 18 months, a groundbreaking new computer came up with a new processor and larger memory. That same cycle in in the smartphone world is on the order of months.
  2. Innovate or die. Palm basically invented the smartphone market. Now that same company is struggling for survival, and there is a genuine question as to whether what was once a $1.5 billion company will continue to exist.  Many people point to the fact that they never really changed their phones after that initial launch.  The Treo line of phones ran for about 6 years with no substantial changes, and now even the launch of the Pre and WebOS may not be enough to save them.
  3. Something different this way comes. I wonder quite a bit about what the next great turn of the crank will be. We’re due.  To a certain extent, the iPhone is where the Treo was a few years ago. It’s been out in the market for about 3 years, with no real substantial changes. I know, I know, you Apple fans will talk about the faster network, more memory, GPS, etc. To which I reply, “Yawn”. I am not predicting Apple is going down in flames, but this is exactly what Palm did after the launch of the Treo…small, incremental improvements. That works for a while, but not for long in a market that craves the newest gadget. In fact, I would argue the Android phones have caught the iPhone in terms of the user experience.
  4. What’s in it for business? Here we are almost a decade later, and businesses are still playing second fiddle to consumers in the smartphone market. Even RIM (the maker of BlackBerry), can’t resist the lure of the numbers represented by the consumer market. They seem to be having their own identity crisis.  Businesses, especially small businesses, have so much to gain from smartphone technology, and yet the market is only paying lip service to addressing their needs.

I am hopeful the whole smartphone market will pay attention to what has happened in its brief history. There is much to be learned. I expect they will learn, and I am eager to see what new devices, and what new business application arise in the next few years.

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